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研究生: 源彩芳
Minamoto, Ayaka
論文名稱: 選舉結果興名人背書
Celebrity’s Political Endorsement: Taylor Swift and US Election in 2018
指導教授: 黃柏鈞
Huang, Po-Chun
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 社會科學學院 - 應用經濟與社會發展英語碩士學位學程(IMES)
International Master's Program of Applied Economics and Social Development(IMES)
論文出版年: 2019
畢業學年度: 107
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 40
中文關鍵詞: 美國選舉名人
外文關鍵詞: Taylor Swift, Political Endorsement
DOI URL: http://doi.org/10.6814/NCCU201900985
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  • The purpose of the research is to estimate the effect of Taylor Swift’s endorsement of Democratic candidate on people’s voting behavior in the U.S. Midterm election 2018. The research employs difference-in-differences design to estimate causal relationship between her endorsement and election outcome and assesses her endorsement impact. In the research model, geographical variation in Swift’s popularity, generated by search keywords on Google Trends, is used as a treatment, for the reason that the research believes that areas with higher popularity of Swift will experience higher vote share of the Democratic Party. In order to give stronger evidence to the research result, the research conducts falsification exercises, using two different keywords that captures a measure of Swift’s popularity, and other two different keywords that captures popularity of two different celerities, Justin Bieber and Oprah Winfrey. As a conclusion, we find that Swift’s endorsement does not increase the Democratic vote share, however it rather prevents people from voting for the Democratic party’s competing party. Yet the research must conclude there is weak evidence to this interpretation due to the result falsification test of Bieber, which shows the magnitude of his impact not supporting anyone is fairly larger than other estimates.

    1. Introduction 1
    1.1 Background 1
    1.2 Statement of the Problem 2
    1.3 Research Goal and Approach 4
    2. Literature Review 7
    2.1 Theory of Celebrity’s Endorsement 7
    2.2 Celebrity Endorser and Self-Concept of Consumers 8
    2.3 Former Empirical Research of Celebrity’s Political Endorsement 9
    3. Methods 12
    3.1 Data Description 12
    3.2 Research Design 15
    4. Research Results and Analysis 18
    4.1 Taylor Swift 18
    4.2 Justin Bieber & Oprah Winfrey 20
    5. Conclusion 22
    6. Bibliography 25
    7. Tables 29

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