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研究生: 李孟威
Lee,Meng-Wui
論文名稱: 通貨膨脹,資產價格波動與信用膨脹
A Theoretical Examination of Inflation, Asset Prices, and Credit Expansion
指導教授: 江永裕
Chiang,Yeong-Yuh
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 金融學系
Department of Money and Banking
論文出版年: 2007
畢業學年度: 96
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 59
中文關鍵詞: 資產價格通貨膨脹貨幣供給信用資產泡沫
外文關鍵詞: Asset prices, Inflation, Money expansion, Credit, Asset bubbles
相關次數: 點閱:329下載:47
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  • 在很多資產泡沫的案例中,我們發現貨幣供給與信用皆伴隨資產價格飆漲而增加;但其通貨膨脹問題卻不嚴重。這似乎與傳統貨幣理論之概念─高貨幣成長刺激通膨─有所抵觸。我們推論在資產價格飆升時,民眾會增加其持有之貨幣以待適當時機購買資產,此種融通金融商品的貨幣即為俗稱之「游資」。游資增加將吸收部份貨幣擴張,因而減少最終流入商品市場的貨幣,緩和通貨膨漲。本論文建立一個Cash-in-Advance模型,發現當經濟體之貸款利率遠高於存款利率,及人民預期未來經濟持續進步時,確實可能發生上述現象。


    While some bubble economies, in which asset prices rise, experience exaggerated
    money and credit expansion, they often face merely moderate
    inflationary problems. It is likely that the increased money supply does
    not fully enter the commodity market and result in hyper-inflation; some
    of that increase may become investors’ money that waits for future investment
    opportunities and finally goes into the equity market. By utilizing
    a cash-in-advance model with a banking system and heterogeneous
    household expectations, this paper demonstrates the existence of this special
    phenomenon under the necessary condition by which, the loan rate is
    significantly higher than the deposit rate, and what the public believes in
    requires a persistent economic growth.

    1 Introduction 1
    2 Literature Review 9
    3 The Model 13
    3.1 Timing of Economic Events . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
    3.2 Heterogeneous Expectations of Outputs . . . . . . . . . . 15
    3.3 Equity Market . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
    3.4 Banking System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
    3.5 Household Maximization Problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
    3.6 Market Equilibrium . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
    4 The Impacts of Changes in Expectations 31
    4.1 A Temporary Shock . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
    4.2 A Permanent Shock . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
    4.3 Monetary Policy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42
    5 Conclusion 48
    Appendix 49
    Appendix 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
    Appendix 2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54
    Appendix 3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54
    Appendix 4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55
    References 56

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