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研究生： 孟少白
Erwin Arnoldo Aguilar Maltes
論文名稱： 薩爾瓦多快速之經濟成長：未來之分析與意涵
Rapid Economic Growth in El Salvador: Analysis and Implications for the Future
指導教授： 吳文傑
學位類別： 碩士
Master
系所名稱： 商學院 - 國際經營管理英語碩士學位學程(IMBA)
International MBA Program College of Commerce(IMBA)
論文出版年： 2007
畢業學年度： 95
語文別： 中文
論文頁數： 69
中文關鍵詞： 薩爾瓦多快速之經濟成長
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    • 薩爾瓦多快速之經濟成長：未來之分析與意涵

    The fast, successful economic development in El Salvador has been attracting investors from countries worldwide. Some examples of investments are the United States, which has been investing about one billion US dollars yearly, along with the British Islands, Mexico, Venezuela and France among others investing several hundreds of US million dollars. Addressing this point, the thesis asks: why have there been so many investments in El Salvador? The finding of this thesis is that El Salvador’s policies have been creating an environment which has stimulated economic development. A description of these policies follows that El Salvador’s policies are in accordance with economic theory, while the policies of other countries in the region not exactly. Moreover, El Salvador has performed better than other countries in Central America in several fields. For example, it was ranked the 24th most open economies in the world by the Heritage Foundation (Wall Street Journal 2005), ahead of Italy, Norway, Japan, France, India, etc. Finally, this thesis projects what investment can be done in the future, especially with infrastructure improving very fast. An example of this is the new world class PANAMAX and POSTPANAMAX seaport, which will start operations in 2008, to develop the project of a dry canal to cross from the Pacific to the Atlantic oceans.

    Abstract…………………………………………………………………………………….i
    Acknowledgements………………………………………………..………………………ii
    Table of Contents……………………………………………….…..…………………….iii
    Table and Figures……………………………………………….………………………viii
    Preface……………………………………………………………………………….…...ix
    1. Introduction…………………………………………………………..............................1
    2. Literature Review……………………………………………………………………….4
    2.1. Shaping the Regional Security Environment in Latin
    America……………………………………………………….…………………...4
    2.1.1. Venezuela…………………………………………………………...5
    2.1.2. Chile………………………………………………………………...5
    2.1.3. Brazil………………………………………………………………..6
    2.1.4. Argentina……………………………………………………………6
    2.1.5. Colombia……………………………………………………………7
    2.1.6. Peru and Ecuador…………………………………………………...7
    2.1.7. Bolivia…………………………………………….………………...7
    2.1.8. Panama………………………………………………………...……8
    2.1.9. Cuba………………………………………………………...………8
    2.1.10. Mexico………………………………………………………….....8
    2.1.11. Implications for the Region and U.S. National
    Security……………………………………………………………………9
    2.1.12. Some other Factors………………………………………………..9
    2.2. Foreign Investment in Latin America and the Caribbean…….………………9
    1.2.1. The Regional Overview…………………………………………...10
    2.3. Foreign Direct Investments in Brazil: Its impact on
    Industrial Restructuring………………………………………………………….12
    3. El Salvador’s Economic Background……………………………………...……….…14
    3.1. Economic Facts in the History of the Country………………………...…….14
    3.2. Some Other Economic Indicators………………………………..….………23
    3.2.1. Current Prices……………………………………………..……….23
    3.2.2. Inflation and Foreign Exchange ………………………….….……24
    3.2.3. Exports………………………………………………….…………25
    3.2.4. Imports………………………………………………….…………26
    3.3. Tourism Background……………………………………………….….……27
    3.4. Banking/Financial Service…………………………………….………….…32
    3.5. Foreign Investments……………………………………….……….……..…33
    4. Advantages and Disadvantages of Investing in El Salvador………………………….35
    4.1. Advantages………………………………….……………….…….………...35
    4.1.1. Strategic Location………………………………….….…………..35
    4.1.2. Highways and Roads…………………………….….……………..35
    4.1.3. Airports…………………………………….……….……………..35
    4.1.4. Maritime Ports………………………………………….…………36
    4.1.5. Fishing Seaports……………………………………….….……….37
    4.1.6. Telecommunications………………………………………….…...37
    4.1.7. Logistic Services…………………………………..………………38
    4.1.8. Guiding Clearing Customs…………………………..…………….38
    4.1.9. Technical and Security Requirements
    Advantages for Customs Services…………………………….…………39
    4.1.10. Benefits of the Financial System:
    The U.S. Dollar as a National Currency…………………………………40
    4.1.10.1. Banking……………………………………...…………40
    4.1.11. The Stock Market………………………………………….……..41
    4.1.12. Stock Exchange Recognitions………………………….………...42
    4.1.13. Investment Protection……………………………………………43
    4.1.13.1. Investment Law………………………………..………44
    4.1.13.2. Industrial and Commercial Free
    Trade Zone Law…………………………………………………44
    4.1.13.3. Exports Reactivation Law………………………..……44
    4.1.14. Intellectual Property Protection………………………………….44
    4.1.15. Taxation………………………………………………………….45
    4.1.16. Benefits of the Free Trades and Preferential
    Access……………………………………………………………………45
    4.1.17. Tourism Advantages……………………………………………..46
    4.1.18. High Tech Industrial Park………………………………………..47
    4.1.19. Labor Force………………………………………………………47
    4.1.20. Transparency……………………………………………………..47
    4.2. Disadvantages………………………………………………………….…....48
    4.2.1. Wages…………………………………………….………….…….48
    4.2.2. Land and Services Cost…………………….………………….…..48
    4.2.3. Scarcity of Farmers…………………………………………….….49
    4.2.4. Mining……………………………………………………….…….49
    4.2.5. The Size of the Country…………………………………….……..50
    4.2.6. Image of the Civil War……………………………………….…...50
    5. Projections……………………………………………………………………….…….51
    5.1. Perspectives for the Near Future…………………………………………….51
    5.1.1. The Dry Canal……………………………………………………..52
    5.1.2. Financial and Economic Activity………………………………….54
    5.1.3. Agricultural Sector………………………………………...………55
    5.1.4. Industry, Commerce and Employment…………………...……….56
    5.1.4. Tourism.……………………………………………..…………….57
    6. SWOT Analysis.....................................................................................................…....60
    6.1. Strengths…………………………………………………………………….61
    6.2. Weaknesses………………………………………………………………….62
    6.3. Opportunities.………………………………………………………………..62
    6.4. Threats….……………………………………………………………………63
    7. CONCLUSIONS.……………………………………………………………………..64
    7.1. Results up to 2005-2006.……………………………………………………64
    7.2. El Salvador goes to the right direction as economic leader in the region…. 65
    7.3. El Salvador becomes a regional logistic and distribution center in the Americas…………………………………………………………………………66
    7.4. El Salvador as a model to follow for other emergent economies in the world……………………………………………………………………………..68
    REFERENCES…..............................................................................................................69

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