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研究生: 羅雯萍
Lo, Wen-ping
論文名稱: 穩定機制、市場透明度與價格行為之研究
指導教授: 李志宏
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 財務管理學系
Department of Finance
論文出版年: 2003
畢業學年度: 91
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 72
中文關鍵詞: 穩定機制市場透明度價格行為競價制度兩檔限制
外文關鍵詞: two-tick limit
相關次數: 點閱:124下載:21
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  • 台灣過去的競價制度與行情揭示受到兩檔限制的規範,導致撮合效率與交易公平性受到質疑,而部分未成交的最佳資訊也可能受到隱藏,導致真實資訊無法及時揭露,誤導投資人錯誤解讀資訊,反而有助長殺跌的疑慮。

    近年來全球追求資訊透明化的趨勢使得我國的兩檔限制備受爭議,也引發一股改革的風潮。因此,台灣證券交易所於民國91年7月進行交易制度的調整,取消自民國74年來沿用的兩檔限制,而以瞬間價格穩定機制當作穩定股市的措施,並進一步增加未成交價量資訊的揭示,提升整體市場資訊揭示的質與量。

    本文以上述的交易制度調整為研究主題,探討市場在面臨穩定機制改變與市場透明度增加的情況下,其價格行為之變化。藉此評估此次交易制度的施行成效,並分別選取市值最高與最低的30支個股為衡量績效指標值的對象,以瞭解新的交易制度對於所有股票皆有相同影響。

    結果發現,就第一階段的取消兩檔、輔以瞬間價格穩定措施與揭露一檔的政策而言,整體樣本的波動性為顯著增加,而高低市值的股票則有截然不同的反應。低市值群組在交易制度調整訊息宣告時享有正的顯著報酬,且在市場績效的驗證上發現Hei & Heubel模型衡量的流動性獲得改善,支持流動性改善有助於提升證券價值的說法,顯示取消兩檔限制輔以瞬間價格穩定措施,並提升市場透明度的作法對低市值群組是較有利的。相對的,高市值群組則發現較不利的證據,衡量宣告日的證券異常報酬為不顯著,流動性與波動性指標則明顯轉差。此外,第二階段的揭露五檔將普遍提升市場整體的效率性,其中以低市值群組最為明顯,此外在波動性與流動性方面,發現高低市值有很明顯的對比與抵換關係,高市值為流動性轉差但價格波動減少,低市值則相反,綜合為整體樣本的變化則不明顯。

    推論上述實證結果,可能原因在於高低市值群組本身特性不同,導致相同的交易制度變革有不同的影響。高市值本身屬於企業規模大、股價較高,資訊透明度與交易較熱絡的一個族群,而低市值股票為傳統產業股居多,為股市中較不受投資人關愛、流動性較低,資訊不對稱程度也較高的股票。因而,過去在兩檔限制下,揭示代理價格、隱藏真實資訊,導致投資人錯誤解讀資訊者,應屬低市值股票較為嚴重,預期在取消兩檔限制後,資訊不對稱提升的程度相對來的高。此外,從第二階段揭露五檔的效果看來,高低市值的效率性皆改善,但在流動性與波動性方面卻呈現對比的抵換關係,顯示增加市場透明度對於市場績效無絕對的好壞。


    第一章、 緒論---------------------------------------------------------------------1
    第一節 引言-----------------------------------------------------------------------1
    第二節 研究動機-----------------------------------------------------------------2
    第三節 研究目的-----------------------------------------------------------------5
    第四節 論文內容編排-----------------------------------------------------------6
    第二章、 文獻回顧---------------------------------------------------------------7
    第一節 集中市場新制度介紹--------------------------------------------------7
    第二節 兩檔限制-----------------------------------------------------------------9
    第三節 暫停交易----------------------------------------------------------------13
    第四節 市場透明度-------------------------------------------------------------16
    第五節 小結----------------------------------------------------------------------20
    第三章、 實證設計-------------------------------------------------------------21
    第一節 資料與研究期間-------------------------------------------------------23
    第二節 證券報酬衡量----------------------------------------------------------25
    第三節 市場績效的衡量-------------------------------------------------------29
    第四節 證券異常報酬與市場績效之關係----------------------------------38
    第四章、 實證結果-------------------------------------------------------------39
    第一節 證券報酬衡量----------------------------------------------------------39
    第二節 市場績效的衡量-------------------------------------------------------43
    4.2.1 第一階段交易制度的績效衡量------------------------------43
    4.2.2 第二階段交易制度的績效衡量------------------------------56
    第三節 證券異常報酬與市場績效之關係----------------------------------57
    第四節 小結----------------------------------------------------------------------60
    第五章、 結論與建議----------------------------------------------------------63
    第一節 研究結論----------------------------------------------------------------63
    第二節 研究建議----------------------------------------------------------------65
    參考文獻--------------------------------------------------------------------------66

    圖表目錄
    表2-1:集中市場新舊交易制度比較-------------------------------------------------7
    圖3-1:實證流程------------------------------------------------------------------------22
    表3-1:研究時間的劃分---------------------------------------------------------------23
    表4-1:公告日的證券異常報酬檢定----------------------------------------------40
    表4-2:實施日的證券異常報酬檢定------------------------------------------------41
    表4-3:結合兩事件日的證券異常報酬檢定---------------------------------------42
    表4-4:六個月的績效差異檢定-----------------------------------------------------43
    表4-5:上半年的績效穩定測試-----------------------------------------------------45
    表4-6:下半年的績效穩定測試-----------------------------------------------------45
    表4-7 三個月的績效差異檢定_未調整------------------------------------------47
    表4-8 三個月的績效差異檢定_經Schwertz model調整---------------------49
    表4-9:10天的績效差異檢定_未調整-------------------------------------------50
    表4-10:10天的績效差異檢定_調整市場走勢----------------------------------52
    表4-11:一個月的績效差異檢定_未調整----------------------------------------54
    表4-12:一個月的績效差異檢定_調整市場走勢-------------------------------54
    表4-13:揭露五檔效果----------------------------------------------------------------56
    表4-14:市場績效改善與異常報酬的關係----------------------------------------59
    表4-15:高低市值群組之屬性分析-------------------------------------------------60

    中文部分
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