| 研究生: |
張智凱 |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
A Study of Strategy for Guessing Game |
| 指導教授: | 余清祥 |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
商學院 - 統計學系 Department of Statistics |
| 論文出版年: | 1998 |
| 畢業學年度: | 86 |
| 語文別: | 英文 |
| 論文頁數: | 35 |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:116 下載:5 |
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In this paper, we consider a number-guessing game in which the competitor guesses numbers from several hints. If the competitor guesses at least one numbers correctly, he/she can keep on guessing the remaining incorrect numbers. We first explore the case when the hints are uniformly distributed. When the competitor has more information about the right numbers, there are different strategies to guess numbers. We study the optimal strategy in such case.
In uniform case, we use recursive method to compute the winning probability. In non-uniform case, we find that the optimal strategy is to choose the most probable hints of each number.
謝辭
Abstract
Content
Chapter 1. Introduction-----1
Chapter 2. Uniform game-----3
2-1. Winning probability-----3
2-2. The difference of winning probability of Games-----10
Chapter 3. Non-uniform game-----14
3-1. Optimal strategy-----14
3-2. The difference of winning probability of games with partial order property-----21
Chapter 4. Conclusion and suggestion-----26
References-----27
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