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研究生: 靳孟軒
Jin, Meng-Hsuan
論文名稱: 台灣投資人槓桿投資行為分析
An Analysis of Leveraged Investment Behavior of Taiwanese Investors
指導教授: 周冠男
梁嘉紋
口試委員: 蕭育仁
柯冠成
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 經營管理碩士學程(EMBA)
Executive Master of Business Administration(EMBA)
論文出版年: 2026
畢業學年度: 114
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 53
中文關鍵詞: 行為財務學金融從業背景心理帳戶槓桿投資股息謬誤
外文關鍵詞: Behavioral Finance, Financial Occupational Background, Mental Accounting, Leveraged Investment, Dividend Fallacy
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  • 本研究探討台灣投資人在面臨槓桿投資壓力時,是否受到心理帳戶、股息謬誤與損失規避等行為偏誤影響,並檢驗金融從業背景是否具有「專業免疫」效果。本研究採情境式問卷調查,模擬受測者面對新台幣 1,000 萬元房貸與 300 萬元個人信用貸款時之還款與投資標的選擇,共取得 129 份有效樣本,並以交叉分析、皮爾森卡方檢定與 Cramér’s V 進行分析。
    實證結果顯示,借貸經驗、財務緊迫、金融從業背景與市場情緒,對主要槓桿決策行為皆未達統計顯著水準,顯示大額負債情境下之行為偏誤可能具有跨群體普遍性。其中,金融從業背景未能顯著區分受測者之決策差異,惟本研究並未直接衡量受測者之金融素養或商品理解能力,因此此結果不宜解讀為金融專業能力完全無效,而應理解為:在本研究樣本與衡量方式下,單純以金融從業背景作為代理變數,尚不足以有效區分槓桿情境下之決策差異。
    雖然核心假說未獲顯著支持,描述性統計仍顯示,受測者普遍傾向降低眼前現金流壓力,偏好寬限期、高配息或保本配息商品。探索性分析進一步發現,曾使用信用貸款者較傾向採取「以配息養貸」策略;非獲利狀態者與市場情緒較不樂觀者,則較偏好保本配息商品。惟相關效果量偏弱至低中度,宜作為補充性觀察。
    本研究建議,投資人應以整體資產負債表觀點評估槓桿投資,並進行寬限期結束後之本息壓力測試;金融機構亦應將負債比率、現金流壓力與行為風險納入 KYC 與公平待客評估。


    This study examines whether Taiwanese investors’ leveraged investment decisions are affected by behavioral finance biases, including mental accounting, dividend fallacy, and loss aversion. It also explores whether financial occupational background can distinguish decision-making patterns under leveraged investment pressure. A scenario-based questionnaire was used to simulate repayment and investment choices under a NT$10 million mortgage and a NT$3 million personal credit loan. A total of 129 valid responses were analyzed using cross-tabulation, Pearson’s chi-square tests, and Cramér’s V.
    The empirical results show that borrowing experience, financial distress, financial occupational background, and market sentiment did not significantly explain the major leveraged investment decisions. This suggests that behavioral biases under substantial debt pressure may be widespread across groups rather than limited to specific backgrounds. In particular, financial occupational background did not significantly distinguish respondents’ choices. Since this study did not directly measure financial literacy or product comprehension, this variable should be interpreted as a proxy rather than a direct measure of professional competence.
    Although the core hypotheses were not statistically supported, descriptive statistics show that respondents generally tended to reduce immediate cash-flow pressure and preferred grace periods, high-dividend products, or principal-protected income products. Exploratory analysis further found that respondents with prior personal credit loan experience were more inclined to adopt a cash-flow-oriented strategy of using investment income to service debt. Respondents in non-profitable positions and those with less optimistic market sentiment were more likely to prefer principal-protected income products. However, these exploratory findings showed weak to low-to-moderate effect sizes and should be interpreted cautiously.
    This study suggests that investors should evaluate leveraged investments from a consolidated balance sheet perspective and conduct repayment stress tests after grace periods. Financial institutions should also incorporate debt ratios, cash-flow pressure, and behavioral risks into KYC and fair-customer-treatment assessments.

    誌謝 i
    摘要 ii
    ABSTRACT iii
    表目錄 vi
    圖目錄 vii
    第一章 緒論 1
    第一節 研究背景與動機 1
    第二節 研究目的 2
    第三節 研究流程 3
    第四節 研究範圍與限制 5
    一、 研究範圍 5
    二、 研究限制 5
    第五節 名詞解釋 7
    第二章 文獻探討 9
    第一節 傳統財務學與行為財務學之發展與辯證 9
    一、傳統財務學之理性人假設與預期效用理論 9
    二、行為財務學之崛起與展望理論 10
    三、專業免疫假說之學理基礎與實證爭議 10
    第二節 個人槓桿決策、心理帳戶與賭資效應 11
    一、心理帳戶之資產與負債切割機制 11
    二、借貸經驗、支付痛感與槓桿現金流感受 12
    三、獲利經驗下之風險偏移:賭資效應 12
    第三節 財務緊迫、短視近利與股息謬誤 13
    一、近視損失規避之決策視野特徵 13
    二、資金水位對流動性風險與風險偏好之影響 14
    三、股息謬誤與心理安慰機制 14
    第四節 市場情緒預期與決策框架之關聯性 15
    一、市場情緒對投資人風險定價之影響 15
    二、賭資效應與外推偏誤之共伴機制 15
    三、確定性效應與避險防衛機制 16
    第五節 文獻評析與本研究之切入點 16
    第三章 研究方法 18
    第一節 研究架構 18
    第二節 研究假設 21
    第三節 研究對象與抽樣設計 23
    第四節 研究變數與操作型定義 24
    第五節 研究工具 26
    第六節 資料處理與分析方法 28
    第四章 實證結果分析 30
    第一節 敘述性統計分析 30
    第二節 核心假說檢定與分析 33
    第三節 槓桿決策中之隱藏行為偏誤深度探討 36
    第五章 結論與建議 41
    第一節 研究結論 41
    第二節 實務建議 43
    第三節 研究限制與未來研究方向 44
    結語 47
    參考文獻 48
    一、 中文文獻 48
    二、 英文文獻 48
    附錄一、正式研究問卷 51

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