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研究生: 鍾美芳
ZHONG, MEI-FANG
論文名稱: 通貨膨脹對資本累積和貿易型態的影響--一個兩部門小型開放經濟
指導教授: 林柏生
LIN, BO-SHENG
霍德明
HUO, DE-MING
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 國際經營與貿易學系
Department of International Business
論文出版年: 1993
畢業學年度: 81
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 53
中文關鍵詞: 通貨膨脹資本
外文關鍵詞: INFLATION, CAPITALIZATION
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  • International trade theory emphasizes the "real"factors. In standard models of international trade surveyed by Jones and Neary (1984), factor supplies play a key role in determining trade patterns. The pattern as well as the volume of trade is usually explained by the defference in comparative advantages. Through trade, countries can exploit these advantages and make more efficient use of resources. The determination of exchange rates is seen as the resoult of monetary policies in different countries. The distinction between trade and finace has been mitigated due to an important paper by Stockman (1985) who integrate a transactionsbased model of money with a real trade model. He analyzed the effect of inflation on international trade using a cash-in-adcance(CIA) model. In his setup, inflation depresses capital accumulation because the rate of return on investment is reduced. This"factor-supply"effect will cause the volume of trade to change. Since Stockman used a Heckscher- Ohlin-Samuelson model, it also follows that a small change in the rate of inflation may cause a dramatic change in domestic production, hence, the pattern of trade might be reversed completely. In this dessertation I shall point out another channel of how inflation affects the trade pattern and volume. I shall study the "demand-substitution"effect due the fact that the cash-in-advance constraint is applied to different sets of goods. When this is so, the CIA constraint impliesa higher opportunity cost of purchasing the constrained goods. Thus, the relative costs of goods under constraint in terms of the goods not under constraint will be subject to the influence of inflation, this is what I mean by "demand-substitution" effect. This dissertation is organized as follows. In section II we will survey the related literature. In section III we describe the model and the five different CIA constraints case, analyze the effect of unanticipated, anticipated and temporary monetary policy. In every case, comparative static exercise are performed. In section IV we make comparison between the three cases, followed by concluding remarks and possible extensions.

    I. THE MOTIVATION AND OBJECTION----------1

    II. LITERATURE REVIEW----------3

    III. THE MODEL----------5
    A.1 THE FIRST CASE----------7
    A.2 THE STEADY----------STATE ANALYSIS----------11
    A.3 THE NON----------STEADY----------STATE ANALYSIS----------13
    A.3.1 UNANTICIPATED POLICY----------14
    A.3.2 ANTICIPATED POLICY----------16
    A.3.3 UNANTICIPATED TEMPORARY POLICY----------21
    B.1 THE SECOND CASE----------27
    B.2 THE STEADY----------STATE ANALYSIS----------28
    B.3 THE NON----------STEADY----------STATE ANALYSIS----------29
    B.4 UNANTICIPATED POLICY----------31
    C.1 THE THIRD CASE----------34
    C.2 THE STEADY----------STATE ANALYSIS----------35
    C.3 THE NON----------STEADY----------STATE ANALYSIS----------37

    IV. THE COMPARISON OF THREE CASES----------40

    V. CONCLUSION AND EXTENSIONS----------41

    VI. APPENDIX----------43

    References
    Abel, A., 1985, "Dynamic behavior of capital accumulation in a cash-in-advance
    model," Journal of Monetary Economics, 16, 55-71.
    Foley, D., and M. Sidrauski, 1970, "Portfolio choice, investment and growth,"
    American Economic Review, 60,44-63.
    Foley, D., and M. Sidrauski, 1971, Monetary and Fiscal policy in a growing
    economy, Macmillan, New York.
    Friedman, M., 1969, "Optimum quantity of money," in The Optimum Quantity
    of Money and Other Essays, Aldine, Chicago.
    Huo, T.-M., 1992, "Inflation and capital accumulation in a two-sector cash-in-
    advance economy," manuscript.
    Lucas, Deborah J., 1991, "Foundations of the cash-in-advance model," Journal
    of Monetary Economics, 27,487-493. North-Holland.
    Lucas, R., 1982, "Interest rates and currency prices in a two-country world,"
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    Roldos, J., 1991, "Tariffs, investment and the current account," International
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    Roldos, J., 1992, "A dynamic-specific factors model with money," Canadian
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    Stockman, A., 1981, "Anticipated inflation and capital stock in a cash-in-advance
    economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, 8, 387-393.
    Stockman, A., 1985, "Effects of Inflation on the pattern of international
    trade," Canadian Journal of Economics, 18, 587-601.
    Tobin, J., 1965, "Money and economic growth," Econometrica, 33, 671- 684.

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