| 研究生: |
許傑翔 Hsu, Chieh-Hsiang |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
股東會紀念品發放對臺灣上市櫃公司股價之影響:迎合理論的詮釋 The Impact of Souvenir Distribution at Shareholders’ Meeting on the Stock Prices of Listed Companies in Taiwan: An Interpretation through Catering Theory |
| 指導教授: | 翁永和 |
| 口試委員: |
張宏浩
林晉勗 |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
社會科學學院 - 行政管理碩士學程 Master for Eminent Public Administrators |
| 論文出版年: | 2025 |
| 畢業學年度: | 114 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 136 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 股東會紀念品 、迎合理論 、迎合的代價 、補償性迎合 、苦悶慰藉假說 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Annual General Meeting Souvenir, Catering Theory, Cost of Catering, Compensatory Catering, Sorrow Relief Hypothesis |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:26 下載:0 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
發放股東會紀念品為台灣證券市場特有之現象,雖蔚然成風,然其對公司價值的真實效益在學理與實務間仍缺乏定論。為釐清此一迷霧,本研究從行為財務學的「迎合理論」(Catering Theory)切入,以 2015 至 2024 年逾 1.6 萬筆觀測值建立計量模型,並納入財務結構(如資產報酬率、負債比)與股權特性(如自然人持股比例)等多維度變數進行嚴謹實證。結果揭示了經營階層的決策真相:獲利能力越差且散戶比例越高的公司,越傾向發放股東會紀念品,證實此為一種安撫龐大股東壓力的「補償性迎合」策略。正因市場識破此負面訊號,故在一般時期給予顯著的股價折價,即「迎合的代價」,且以高變現性的「票卡類股東會紀念品」折價最深。然而,在 COVID-19 疫情衝擊下,此理性評價暫時被感性的「苦悶慰藉」需求所減輕。本研究貢獻在於,透過連結公司體質與決策動機,精確量化了迎合行為的真實成本,為迎合理論在台灣證券市場的運作機制提供了具穿透力的嶄新詮釋。
The distribution of shareholder meeting souvenirs is a unique phenomenon in Taiwan's securities market. Although it has become a prevailing practice, its true effect on firm value lacks consensus in both academic and practical spheres. To demystify this phenomenon, this study investigates the issue through the lens of "Catering Theory" from behavioral finance. Utilizing a robust econometric model with over 16,000 observations of listed companies in Taiwan from 2015 to 2024, this study incorporates multidimensional variables, including financial structure (e.g., Return on Assets) and equity characteristics (e.g., natural person shareholding ratio), for rigorous empirical analysis. The results reveal the truth behind management decisions: companies with poorer profitability and higher retail shareholding are significantly more prone to distributing souvenirs, confirming this behavior as a "Compensatory Catering" strategy aimed at soothing the pressure from a massive retail shareholder base. As the market deciphers this negative signal, such catering behavior incurs a significant stock price discount during general periods, termed the "Cost of Catering," with high-liquidity "Card-type" souvenirs suffering the deepest discount. However, under the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, this rational valuation was temporarily mitigated by the emotional demand for "Sorrow Relief." The contribution of this study lies in bridging corporate fundamentals with decision motives to precisely quantify the real cost of catering, thereby providing a penetrating new interpretation of the mechanism of Catering Theory in Taiwan's securities market.
第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究背景與動機 1
第二節 研究目的 6
第三節 研究方法與架構 11
第二章 文獻回顧 13
第一節 迎合理論與傳統股利理論文獻 13
第二節 股東會紀念品、市場情緒與調節效果文獻 16
第三節 影響股價變動之其他因素文獻 37
第三章 股東會紀念品與股價反應之現況分析 43
第一節 資料範圍與來源 43
第二節 股價變動之衡量指標 47
第三節 影響股價變動因素之現況分析 49
第四章 實證模型設定 63
第一節 變數說明與預期影響方向 63
第二節 實證模型建構 85
第五章 實證結果與分析 90
第一節 敘述性統計分析 90
第二節 相關係數分析 93
第三節 模型診斷與設定檢定 96
第四節 實證模型之迴歸結果 98
第五節 綜合討論 113
第六章 結論與建議 120
第一節 主要研究發現 120
第二節 管理意涵與政策建議 124
第三節 研究限制與未來展望 125
第四節 結語 129
參考文獻 130
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全文公開日期 2031/01/06