| 研究生: |
蘇嘉雄 Sou, Ka Hong |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
以財務報表資訊為台灣股票市場建構最適資產配置 The Optimal Asset Allocation According to Financial Statement Information in Taiwan Stock Market |
| 指導教授: | 黃泓智 |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
商學院 - 風險管理與保險學系 Department of Risk Management and Insurance |
| 論文出版年: | 2014 |
| 畢業學年度: | 102 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 59 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 財務報表 、股票評分指標 、資產模型 、等權重投資策略 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | financial statement, stock rank index, asset model, equally-weighted strategy |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:123 下載:6 |
| 分享至: |
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本論文以1998年1月至2014年2月台灣股票市場上市、櫃股票作為投資標的,首先利用每季公布之財務報表,以市值、股票月週轉率、負債比率、EPS、ROE及本益比等六項指標篩選股票,並根據ASKSR股票評分指標將股票排序,選出前n檔股票作為投資標的。研究使用樣本內資料估計出多元Gaussian-Copula-GJR(1,1)-t資產模型的參數、以它產生多組資產組合報酬的預測,藉由CRRA效用函數、Mean-Variance效用函數、Sharpe ratio效用函數及CARA效用函數最適化權重進行投資。研究發現使用GJR(1,1)-t模型、ASKSR股票評分指標、10天調整投資組合一次及CARA (λ=1) 效用函數下,投資組合不論在期末淨值或整段投資期間的績效上,都優於等權重投資策略。
口試委員會審定書------------------------------------------------------------- (i)
致謝------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (ii)
摘要----------------------------------------------------------------------------- (iii)
第一章 緒論
1.1研究動機與目的---------------------------------------------------- (1)
1.2研究方法及成果---------------------------------------------------- (2)
1.3章節概要------------------------------------------------------------- (3)
第二章 文獻回顧
2.1股價報酬決定因素------------------------------------------------ (5)
2.2 GARCH 文獻探討------------------------------------------------ (5)
2.3 Copula 文獻探討-------------------------------------------------- (7)
2.4本章小結------------------------------------------------------------ (9)
第三章 股票型基金資產配置
3.1證券投資基金簡介------------------------------------------------ (10)
3.2股票型基金資產配置思考--------------------------------------- (10)
3.3本章小結---------------------------------------------------------- (12)
第四章 研究方法
4.1資產選擇---------------------------------------------------------- (13)
4.1.1第一階段資產選擇--------------------------------------- (14)
4.1.2第二階段資產選擇--------------------------------------- (14)
4.2 資產模型---------------------------------------------------------- (18)
4.2.1多元Gaussian-Copula-GARCH(1,1)-t資產模型--- (19)
4.2.2 GARCH(1,1)-t模型參數估計------------------------- (21)
4.3蒙地卡羅方法--------------------------------------------------- (22)
4.4市場風險中立的避險策略------------------------------------ (24)
4.5本章小結--------------------------------------------------------- (24)
第五章 實驗結果
5.1資料說明--------------------------------------------------------- (25)
5.1.1以台灣股票為投資標的-------------------------------- (25)
5.1.2台灣股票市場買賣股票的交易成本----------------- (25)
5.2穩健性測試------------------------------------------------------- (26)
5.2.1 評估投資組合期末績效------------------------------- (27)
5.2.2 評量投資組合績效------------------------------------- (39)
5.2.3 四種評量指標的結果---------------------------------- (42)
5.3本章小結------------------------------------------------------- (45)
第六章 結論與展望
6.1結論------------------------------------------------------------- (46)
6.2展望------------------------------------------------------------- (46)
參考文獻----------------------------------------------------------------- (48)
附錄A--------------------------------------------------------------------- (53)
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