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研究生: 陳姵彣
Chen, Pei Wen
論文名稱: 首次公開發行公司短期及長期績效之探討
The Short-Run and Long-Run Performance of Initial Public Offerings
指導教授: 陳鴻毅
Chen, Hong Yi
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 財務管理學系
Department of Finance
論文出版年: 2016
畢業學年度: 104
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 31
中文關鍵詞: 初次公開發行公司長期短期績效
外文關鍵詞: IPO, long-run, short-run, performance
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  • 本研究主要探討初次公開發行公司短期與長期之績效。利用1980年至2015年美國初次公開發行公司為樣本,本研究發現初次公開發行之公司其上市後三年之股價較市場整體表現來得差。經三因子模型及五因子模型之風險調整後,初次公開發行之公司之超額報酬仍為負值。此外,初次公開發行之公司其上市後三年之營運表現也較上市之前更為衰退。本研究進一步依據公司於首次公開發行後之短期績效分成四組,發現短期擁有較高的累積市場調整報酬之公司其長期之股價及營運績效也會較好。結果顯示市場能於公司首次公開發行時能夠有效率地分辨好公司與壞公司。


    The main purpose of this study is to investigate the short-run and long-run performance for initial public offering (IPO) firms. Using U.S. firms which conducted IPO during the period from 1980 to 2015, this study finds that IPO firms exhibit relatively poor price performance for three years. The poor performance still holds after adjusted by Fama-French three factor model and Fama-French five factor model. This study further separates IPO firms into four groups, and finds that the group with higher cumulative adjusted return in the short-run will have higher price performance and operating performance in the long-run. This implies that the market can efficiently separate good IPO firms from bad IPO firms.

    Contents
    List of Tables and Figures IV
    Chapter 1. Introduction 1
    1.1 Motivation 1
    1.2 Purpose and Contribution 1
    1.3 Structure 2
    Chapter 2. Literature Review 3
    2.1 Long-Run Performance 3
    2.2 Short-Run Performance 4
    Chapter 3. Data and Methodology 6
    3.1 Data 6
    3.2 Methodology 6
    Chapter 4. Empirical Results 9
    4.1 Short-Run Performance for IPO Firms 9
    4.2 Long-Run Cumulative Adjusted Returns for IPO Firms 9
    4.3 Relationship between Short-Run and Long-Run Performance 10
    4.4 Firm-specific Regression on FF5, FF3, and CAPM Models 11
    4.5 Post-IPO Operating Performance 12
    4.6 Post-IPO Operating Performance Split by Short-Run Return 13
    Chapter 5. Conclusions 14
    5.1 Summary of this Study 14
    5.2 Suggestions for Future Research 14
    References 16


    List of Tables and Figures
    Table 1 Sample Selection and Number of Issues per Year 18
    Table 2 Summary Statistics of Key Variables 19
    Table 3 Cumulative Adjusted Returns around the Issuance Date 20
    Table 4 Short-run Performance grouped by Cumulative Adjusted Return (CAR1,21) 21
    Table 5 Long-run Cumulative Adjusted Returns for IPOs in 1980-2015 22
    Table 6 Difference for Long-run Return grouped by Shor-run Cumulative Adjusted Return (CAR1,21) 23
    Table 7 Specific Company Regression on FF5, FF3, and CAPM models 24
    Table 8 Specific Company Regression on FF5, FF3, and CAPM models, with Company split by Shor-run Cumulative Adjusted Return (CAR1,21) 25
    Table 9 Operating Performance of Initial Public Offering Firms 26
    Table 10 Operating Performance of Initial Public Offering Firms Split by Short-run Cumulative Adjusted Return (CAR1,21) 27

    Figure 1 Research Structure 28
    Figure 2 Cumulative returns for 4,779 IPOs 29
    Figure 3 Short-run and Long-run Cumulative Adjusted Returns 30

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