本論文依據 Patton and Timmermann (2007) 之模型架構，透過最適預測檢定探討台灣主計總處公佈之經濟預測最適問題。研究結果發現，主計總處 GDP 之預測違反較多本文所假設的最適預測推論，因而 GDP 預測為非最適預測。主計總處 CPI 之預測在本文的最適預測推論架構下，雖相較於 GDP 預測符合較多推論，但仍然違反了其中一條最適推論，因而 CPI 預測仍為非最適預測。

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