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研究生: 龔慧慈
論文名稱: 信用評等調整宣告對市場報酬及交易量之影響
The Market Return and Trading Volume Reactions to Credit Rating Change Announcements
指導教授: 周冠男
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 財務管理學系
Department of Finance
論文出版年: 2014
畢業學年度: 102
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 33
中文關鍵詞: credit ratingmarket returnsstock trading volumeorder imbalance
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  • Credit ratings are one of the important implications that affect the investors’ behavior in stock markets. We explore the stock reactions to the announcements of credit rating changes from the aspect of returns and trading volume. According to our empirical studies, we find that as S&P announced credit rating upgrading, significant positive cumulative abnormal returns exist in event period, and downgrading with significant negative cumulative abnormal returns. In the trading volume dimension, cumulative abnormal trading volume is statistically significant to both credit rating upgrading and downgrading stocks. Further, we examine the direction of the trading on the day of the credit rating change announcements. The results indicate that the order imbalance is positive significant to upgrading stocks and negative significant to downgrading stocks. We infer that investors are confident of credit rating upgrading stocks and willing to buy more shares that bring about positive abnormal returns; on the other hand, they inclined to sell more shares of credit rating downgrading stocks that cause negative abnormal returns.


    Abstract I
    List of Tables III
    1. Introduction 1
    1.1. Motivation of the study 1
    1.2. Objective of the study 2
    1.3. Chapter outlines 2
    2. Literature Review 3
    2.1. Credit Ratings 3
    2.1.1. No significant reactions to credit rating change announcements 3
    2.1.2. Significant reactions only to credit rating downgrades 4
    2.1.3. Significant reactions to credit rating upgrades and downgrades 6
    2.2. Order Imbalance 7
    2.3. Hypothesis 8
    3. Data Description and Research Methodology 9
    3.1. Data 9
    3.2. Methodology and Variable Description 10
    3.2.1. Stock return reactions to credit rating change announcements 10
    3.2.2. Trading volume reactions to credit rating changes 12
    3.2.3. Order imbalance to credit rating change announcements 13
    4. Empirical Results and Analyses 15
    4.1. Summary statistics 15
    4.2. Empirical result for cumulative abnormal returns 16
    4.3. Empirical result for trading volume 21
    4.4. Empirical result for order imbalance 25
    5. Conclusion 30
    6. Suggestion for future research 31
    References 32

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