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研究生: 張憲峰
CHANG, HSIEN-FENG
論文名稱: 貪腐程度與勞動權益對印太區域貿易整合之影響—引力模型之實證研究
The impact of Corruption level and Labor rights on trade integration in the Indo-Pacific region—an empirical study of the gravity model
指導教授: 蔡致遠
Tsai, Chi-Yuan
口試委員: 潘振宇
Pan, Chen-Yu
郭盈旻
Kuo,Ying-Min
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 國際經營與貿易學系
Department of International Business
論文出版年: 2024
畢業學年度: 112
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 40
中文關鍵詞: 貿易引力模型IPEFCPTPPRCEP貪腐指數勞動權益指數
外文關鍵詞: Gravity Model, IPEF, CPTPP, RCEP, Corruption Index, Labor Rights Index
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  • 本文利用貿易引力模型探討貪腐程度以及勞動權益等非關稅貿易障礙在CPTPP、RECP以及IPEF中扮演的角色。使用2014到2019年各國雙邊貿易資料,實證研究顯示,與CPTPP及IPEF相比,清廉程度在RCEP相關國家中有顯著且正向的結果,當貪腐指數提升一分,區域內雙邊貿易成長1.21%,同時當勞動權益指數增加一分,區域內雙邊貿易成長4.34%。而在IPEF & CPTPP中,當開發中國家改善貪腐程度時則對雙邊貿易有負向影響,若是貪腐指數上升一分改善貪腐程度後,會讓區域雙邊貿易下降4.7%。


    This study uses gravity model of trade to investigate the roles played by corruption levels and labor rights, as well as non-tariff trade barriers, in the context of CPTPP, RCEP, and IPEF. Using bilateral trade data from 2014 to 2019, empirical findings indicate that, compared to CPTPP and IPEF, there is a significant and positive relationship between corruption levels and countries involved in RCEP. When the corruption index increases by one point, bilateral trade within the region grows by 1.21%. Additionally, when the labor rights index increases by one point, regional bilateral trade expands by 4.34%. In the case of IPEF and CPTPP, an improvement in corruption levels in developing countries has a negative impact on bilateral trade. An increase of one point in the corruption index, indicating an improvement in corruption levels, leads to a 4.7% decrease in regional bilateral trade.

    一、研究背景與動機 5
    二、研究問題與目的 6
    三、文獻回顧 8
    3.1勞動權益文獻回顧 8
    3.2貪腐指數文獻回顧 9
    3.3區域經濟整合文獻回顧 10
    四、研究方法 13
    4.1引力模型 (Gravity Model) 之介紹 13
    4.1.1固定效果之分析 13
    4.2資料來源與變數介紹 14
    4.2.1資料來源 14
    4.2.2模型中的各變數介紹 15
    五、實證結果與群體細項分析 18
    5.1 實證分析 18
    5.1.1整體分析 18
    5.1.2 IPEF& CPTPP 18
    5.1.3 RCEP 19
    5.1.4 初步研究結果 21
    5.2勞工權益、貪腐指數與國際貿易 21
    5.3進一步分析的實證研究結果 22
    5.3.1群體區分: 以已開發國家與開發中國家來進行區分 22
    5.3.2變數區分: 加上進入一國創業的變數 29
    六、本文結論與未來建議 32
    6.1實證總結 32
    6.2未來研究方向與建議 34
    七、參考文獻 35
    7.1中文資料來源 35
    7.2 英文資料來源 35
    八、附件 39

    中文資料來源
    1. 經濟部國際貿易署,(2022),《CPTPP簡介》
    2. 經濟部國際貿易署,(2022),《區域全面經濟夥伴協定(RCEP)簡介》
    3. 行政院經貿談判辦公室,(2023),《臺美宣布將簽署深具歷史意義的貿易協定》
    4. 經濟部國際貿易署,(2023),《印太經濟架構(IPEF)部長級會議於洛杉磯》
    5. 吳福成,(2015),《RCEP 對台灣企業的影響與佈局策略》
    6. 張壬慈,(2002),《區域經濟整合之發展對台灣農產品貿易之影響-以APEC與AFTA為例》
    7. 徐辰喬,(2006),《區域整合與對外直接投資對台灣出口貿易的影響-引力模型的含意》
    8. 王霖軒,(2012),《簽訂自由貿易協定對台灣貿易情形的影響》
    9. 焦興鎧,(2022),《自由貿易協定之勞動專章發展趨勢》,台灣勞工季刊第69期
    10. 張文揚,(2017),《全球化下的勞工困局?以1969年至2015年的罷停工資料分析》,台灣社會學第34期,p. 91-121.

    英文資料來源
    1. Office of the United States Trade Representative, (2022), “Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity (IPEF).”
    2. Eaton and Kortum, (2002), ”Technology, Geography, and Trade”, Econometrica, p.1741-1779.
    3. Chieko Kishi-Itakura, Ikuko Koyama-Honda, Eisuke Itakura, Noboru Mizushima, (2014), ”Ultrastructural analysis of autophagosome organization using mammalian autophagy-deficient cells.”
    4. Timothy J Kehoe, (1993), “North American free trade”, in Journal of Economic Integration, p. 119-151.
    5. Shujiro Urata & Kozo Kiyota, (2005), "The Impacts of an East Asia Free Trade Agreement on Foreign Trade in East Asia," in International Trade in East Asia, p. 217-252.
    6. Mohamed Hedi Bchir and Michel Fouquin, (2006), “Economic Integration in Asia: Bilateral Free Trade Agreements Versus Asian Single Market”, Working Papers 2006-15, CEPII research center.
    7. Tinbergen J., (1962), “Shaping the world economy: suggestions for an international economic policy.” ,The economic journal, 76(301), p. 92-95.
    8. James E. Anderson, (1979), “A Theoretical Foundation for Gravity Equation”, in American Economic Review, p. 106-116.
    9. Jeffrey H. Bergstrand , (1985), “The Gravity Equation In International Trade: Some Microeconomic Foundations And Empirical Evidence”, in Review of Economics and Statistics, p. 474-481.
    10. Helpman, E. and Krugman, (1985), “Market Structure and Foreign Trade: Increasing Returns, Imperfect Competition, and the International Economy.” in MIT Press, Cambridge.
    11. Jeffrey Frankel and Shang-Jin Wei, (1993), “Emerging Currency Blocs.”, NBER Working Paper No. w4335.
    12. James E. Anderson and Eric van Wincoop, (2003), “Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle.”, in American Economics Review, p. 170-192.
    13. Jean Brun ,Celine Carrere ,Patrick Guillaumont and Jaime de Melo, (2005), “Has Distance Died? Evidence from a Panel Gravity Model”, in The World Bank Economic Review, p. 99-120.
    14. Inkyo Cheong and Jose Tongzon, (2013), “Comparing the Economic Impact of the Trans-Pacific Partnership and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership”, in Asian Economic Papers, p. 144-164.
    15. Ping-Ying Chou, Hung-Chi Hsu and Ching-Chien Yang, (2013), “The Analysis of Taiwan's Participation in CPTPP and RCEP: From the Perspective of SWOT.”
    16. Oduncu, Arif and Mavuş, Merve and Güneş Didem, (2014), “The Possible Effects of Trans-Pacific Partnership on Turkish Economy.”
    17. Cheng,Yi-Ting, (2015), “Economy-Wide Impacts of Taiwan’s Participating in the Trans-Pacific Partnership and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership: The Significance of Technology Spillover Effects.”
    18. Maddalena Conte, Pierre Cotterlaz and Thierry Mayer, (2022), “The CEPII Gravity Database”, Working Papers 2022-05, CEPII research center.
    19. Anne-Célia Disdier, Thierry Mayer, (2007), “Je t’aime, moi non plus: Bilateral opinions and international trade.” ,European Journal of Political Economy, pp.1140-1159.
    20. Piazza, James A, (2005), “Globalizing Quiescence: Globalization, Union Density and Strikes in 15 Industrialized Countries.” Economic and Industrial Democracy, p. 289-314.
    21. Blanton, Robert G. and Shannon L. Blanton, (2016), “Globalization and Collective Labor Rights.” Sociological Forum 31(1): p.181-202.
    22. Muhammad Tariq Majeed, (2014), ”Corruption and Trade”, Journal of Economic Integration, Vol. 29, p. 759-782.
    23. Salvador Gil-Pareja, Rafael Llorca-Vivero and José Antonio Martínez-Serrano, (2019), ”Corruption and international trade: a comprehensive analysis with gravity.”, Applied Economic Analysis, Vol. 27 No. 79, p. 3-20.
    24. Axel Dreher and Martin Gassebner, (2013), “Greasing the wheels? The impact of regulations and corruption on firm entry.”, Public Choice , Vol. 155, p. 413-432.
    25. Méon, Pierre-Guillaume; Weill, Laurent , (2008), ”Is corruption an efficient
    grease?”, BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT).

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