| 研究生: |
蔡孟廷 Tsai, Meng-Ting |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
除權息投資人情緒與股票股利之關聯性研究 ─ 以台灣市場為例 A Study on the Relationship between Ex-Dividend Investor Sentiment and Stock Dividends: Evidence from the Taiwan Market |
| 指導教授: |
羅秉政
Kendro Vincent |
| 口試委員: |
陳韋達
Chen, Wei-Da 蔡明宏 Tsai, Ming-Hung |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
商學院 - 金融學系 Department of Money and Banking |
| 論文出版年: | 2024 |
| 畢業學年度: | 112 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 47 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 股票股利 、除權息 、異常報酬 、多因子分析 、台灣股市 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Stock Dividends, Ex-Dividend, Abnormal Returns, Multi-factor Analysis, Taiwanese Stock Market |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:48 下載:0 |
| 分享至: |
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在當代股票市場中,公司通常以股利形式分配部分盈利給股東,以展示公司財務穩健性和盈利能力。台灣股市的「除權息」現象突顯了股票股利的影響力。本研究分析了 2009 年至 2023 年間台灣上市公司在除權息期間的股價行為及異常報酬。我們計算了公告除權息日隔天至除權息前一天、除權息前三天至除權息前一天、除權息當天開盤至收盤、除權息後 20 天至 60 天及除權息後 60 天至 180 天等五個時段的平均報酬率、勝率、扣除大盤報酬後的平均報酬率及標準差。
結果顯示,股票股利在勝率、報酬率及累積異常報酬(CAR)方面表現最佳,報酬率顯著高於全樣本、現金股利及不同殖利率範疇。此外,跳空價差和稅後 ROE 顯著提高了報酬率,而大戶持股率也對報酬變化有顯著影響。
本研究結果為投資者和研究者提供了重要參考,揭示了股利政策中特別是股票股利對股價行為及異常報酬的影響。未來研究可進一步探討不同市場環境下這些因子的長期影響,以提供更全面的見解。
In stock markets, companies distribute dividends to demonstrate financial stability and profitability. The ”ex-dividend” phenomenon in Taiwan high-lights stock dividends’ impact. This study analyzes stock price behavior and abnormal returns of Taiwanese listed companies from 2009 to 2023, calculating average return rates, winning percentages, and abnormal returns (CAR) over periods around the ex-dividend date.
Results show that stock dividends outperform in winning percentages, return rates, and CAR, significantly exceeding the full sample, cash dividends, and various yield categories. Additionally, price gap and post-tax ROE significantly improve returns, while large investor ratio also impacts return variations.
These findings provide insights for investors and researchers, revealing the influence of dividend policies, especially stock dividends, on stock price behavior and abnormal returns.
摘要 i
Abstract ii
Contents iii
List of Figures v
List of Tables vi
1 研究動機及背景 1
1.1 研究背景 1
2 文獻回顧 4
2.1 股利政策對股價的影響 4
2.2 股票股利與異常報酬 4
2.3 集保股權分散與股價影響 5
2.4 外資與法人持股的影響 5
2.5 財務指標與股價影響 6
2.6 投資者情緒指標:換手率 6
3 研究設計 7
3.1 研究目的 7
3.2 研究方法 9
3.2.1 資料蒐集與整理 9
3.2.2 報酬率計算 12
3.2.3 統計分析 13
3.2.4 多因子分析 16
4 實證結果 26
4.1 敘述統計 26
4.2 兩種樣本的 t 檢定分析 30
5 結論 43
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