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研究生: 邱秋瑩
論文名稱: 內外部均衡目標與中央銀行之貨幣政策工具 : 國際間之比較
指導教授: 劉錦添
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 國際經營與貿易學系
Department of International Business
論文出版年: 1991
畢業學年度: 79
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 98
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  • 第一章 緒論. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1
    第一節 研究動機與目的. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
    第二節 研究方法. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
    第三節 本文架構. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5
    本章註釋. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6
    第二章 文獻回顧. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7
    第一節 前言. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7
    第二節 貨幣政策工具與目標間關係之理論探討. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18
    第三節 貨幣政策反應函數之實證文獻回顧. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16
    第四節 結論. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
    本章註釋. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29
    第三章 貨幣政策反應函數之模型設定、實證方法介紹與資料來源說明. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30
    第一節 前言. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30
    第二節 貨幣政策反應函數之模型設定. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .31
    第三節 貨幣政策反應函數之實證方法簡介. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .34
    第四節 資料來源與各國概況. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .40
    本章註釋. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48
    第四章 貨幣政策反應函數之實證結果. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .51
    第一節 前言. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .51
    第二節 貨幣政策反應函數之實證結果分析. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .51
    第三節 各國對於內、外部均衡目標重視程度之分析. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .71
    本章詮釋. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .81
    第五章 結論與建議. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82
    第一節 結論. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .82
    第二節 後續研究建議. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84
    附表. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .85
    參考文獻. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .93
    一、中文部份. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .93
    二、英文部份. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .94

    一、中文部份
    1.李榮謙、林宗耀(1989),「貨幣政策中間目標、輔助目標與訊息指標」,中央銀行季刊,12:1 , 63-68。
    2. 林鐘雄(1990),貨幣銀行學,(自版),六版。
    3. 洪文金(1990),貨幣銀行學,五南書局,一版。
    4. 財政部財稅人員訓練所(1987) , 日本會融,世界租稅著作翻譯叢書(44)。
    5. 郭國興(1990),貨幣銀行學,三民書局,二版。
    6. 黃得豐(1984),西德銀行制度,儲委會金融研究叢書(011)。
    7. 陳曉玫(1991),「美國聯邦準備制度貨幣政策與金融操作管理之研究」,中央銀行季刊,13:1 , 65-104 。
    8. 梁發進(1990),「我國貨幣政策反應函數及其目標與工具之因果關係」,國立中興大學經濟學研究所學術研討會。
    9. 詹金鶯(1985),「貨幣政策主要中間目標之選擇」,國際金融參考資料,第十九輯,頁49-60 。
    10. 鄭素卿(1984) ,政策調整對今融發展的影響,儲委會金融研究叢書(007)。
    11. 歐陽勛、黃仁德(1988),國際金融理論與制度,三民書局,二版。
    一、英文部份
    1. Abrams, Richard K., Richard Froyen, and Roger N. Waud(1980), " Monetary Policy Reaction Functions, Ccnsistent Expections and the Burns Era," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,12:1,30-42.
    2. Black, Stanley W. (1983) "The Use of Monetary Policy for Internal and External Balance in Ten Industrial Countries," in Jacob A. Frenkel ed. Exchange Rate and International Macroeconomics, Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, 189-233.
    3. Bradley, Michael D. and Susan M. Potter (1986) " The State of the Federal Budget and the State of the Economy: Further Evidence, "Economic Inquiry ,24, 143-153.
    4. Chow, Gregory C. (1981), Econometric Analysis by Control Methods, New York: John Wiley & Sons.
    5. DeRosa, P. and Stern G. H. (1977) "Monetary Control and Federal Funds Rates "Journal of Monetary Economics, 3, 217-230.
    6. Eichengreen, Barry, Mark W. Watsan and Richard S. Grossman (1985) "Bank Rate Policy under the Interwar Gold Standard A Dynamic Probit Model, "The Economic Journal, 95, 725-745.
    7. Fair, Ray C. (1987) " Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconomic Model," NBER Working Paper, #2150.
    8. Friedman, Benjamin M. (1988) " Target and Instruments of Monetary Policy," NBER Working Paper, #2668.
    9. Fry, Maxwell J. (1990) "Sri Lanka's 1977 Balance-of-Payment and Finance Reforms : Plus CA Change ? ", International Economic Journal, 4:1 (Spring)71-90.
    10. Gallant, A. R. and Goebel J. J.(1976) "Nonlinear Regression with Autoregressive Errors, " Journal of the American Statistical ,Association, 71. 961-967.
    11. Green, William H. (1990), Econometric Analysis, New York: Macmillan Publishing Company.
    12. Grubel Herbert G. (1977) InternationaI Economics, Homewood Illinois: Richard D. Irwin, Inc ..
    13. Hakes, David R. (1988) " October 1979 : Did the Federal Reserve Change Policy Objectives? ", Journal of Economics and Business, 40, 159-167.
    14. Hoelscher, Greogery(1990) " 1979-1982 : Rules or Descretion in Monetary Policy?,” Economic Inquiry,28, 249-256.
    15. Hsiao, C. (1979) "Causality Tests in Econometrics ",Journal of Dynamics and Control, 1, 321-346.
    16. Hutchison, Michael H. (1988), "Monetary Control with an Exchange Rate . Objective : The Bank of Japan, 1973-86," Journal of International Money and Finance, 7, 261-271.
    17; John, N. L. and S. Kotz(1970). Distributions in Statistics: Continuous Univariate Distributions, Vols. 1 and 2, New York: John Wiley.
    18. Krugman, Paul R. and Maurice Obstfeld(1987), International Economics, Glenview Illinois:Scott, Foresman and Company.
    19. McCallum, Bennett T. (1989) " Target, Indicators and Instruments of Monetary Policy," NBER Working Paper, #3047.
    20. Meade, J. E. (1951) The Balance of Payments, London : Oxford University Press.
    21. Montgomery, Edward (1985) "An Ordered Probit Analysis of Saving Behavior ," Quarterly Review of Economics and Business, 25:3, 22-35.
    22. Mundell, Robert A. (1960)" The Dynamics of International Adjustment under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rate," Quarterly Journal of Economic,74 , 227-257.
    23.______. (1962) " The Appropriate Use of Monetary and Fiscal Policy for Internal and External Stability," IMF Staff Paper, 70-79.
    24.______.(1963) "Capital Mobility and Stabilization Policy under Fixed and Flexibility Exchange Rate." Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science, 29:4, 475-485.
    25.______ . (1968) International Economics, New York:The MacMillan Company, Inc..
    26. Poole, William(1970) "Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Simple Stochastic Macro Model "Quarterly Journal of Economics, 84, 197-216.
    27.______. (1975) " The Making of Monetary Policy : Description and Anlaysis", Economic Inquiry ,13 , 253-265.
    28. Porzecanski, Arturo C., (1979) " Pattern of Monetary Policy in Latin America," Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 11 :4, 427-423.
    29. Stern, R.M. (1973) The Balance of Payment: Theory and Economic Policy, Chicago, Illinois: Aldine Publishing Company.
    30. Theil, Henri(1971) Principles of Econometrics, New York: John Wiley.
    31. Tinbergen, J. (1952) On the Theory of Economic Policy, Amsterdam: North-Holland Publishing Company.
    32. Witte, Willard E.(1984a) "Cyclical Variation in the Short-Run Federsl Reserve Reaction Function, 1969-1978," Journal of Macroeconomics, 6:4, 457-464.
    33._______.(1984b) " Macroeconomic Stability and the Short-Run Federal Reserve Reaction Function,1969 -1979", Economic Inquiry, 22, 571-578.
    34. Zavoina, R. and McElvey(1975) "A Statistical Model for the Analysis of Ordinal Level Dependent Variables", Journal of Mathematical Sociology, Summer, 103-120.

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