| 研究生: |
吳昕憓 Wu, Hsin-Hui |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
企業轉型策略對股價相關性之分析:以日本五大商社為例 The Analysis of the Relationship Between Corporate Transformation Strategies and Stock Prices: A Case Study of Japan’s Five Major Trading Companies |
| 指導教授: |
周冠男
Chou, Robin K. 梁嘉紋 Liang, Jia-Wen |
| 口試委員: |
周冠男
Chou, Robin K. 陳鴻毅 Chen, Hong-Yi 柯冠成 Ko, Kuan-Cheng |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
商學院 - 經營管理碩士學程(EMBA) Executive Master of Business Administration(EMBA) |
| 論文出版年: | 2025 |
| 畢業學年度: | 113 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 65 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 日本五大商社 、企業轉型 、獲利穩定度 、市場評價 |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:30 下載:0 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
本研究探討2014-2023年間日本五大綜合商社的轉型策略如何影響其獲利穩定度及市場評價。在全球經濟格局變遷、地緣政治緊張及永續發展訴求興起的背景下,傳統以大宗商品貿易為主的商社經營模式面臨根本性衝擊。為因應這些挑戰,商社紛紛降低對傳統貿易業務的依賴,轉向發展具有更高附加價值的業務組合。本研究採用案例分析法,通過質性描述與基礎統計分析,探討五大商社在轉型過程中的關鍵決策、策略方向及營運績效變化。研究發現,商社透過調整業務結構、強化投資管理、布局新興產業等策略,成功改善了獲利穩定性。統計分析顯示,獲利穩定度與市場評價呈現顯著相關,企業轉型策略的成效直接反映在股價表現與評價水準的提升上。進一步分析發現,商社在轉型過程中普遍加強了ESG相關投資,並強化公司治理架構,這些措施不僅提升了企業的永續發展能力,也獲得了市場的正面評價。特別是在降低資源業務依賴度、發展服務型業務等方面的努力,為商社帶來了更穩定的獲利來源。
摘要 1
第一章 緒論 4
第一節 研究動機及背景 4
第二節 研究目的 5
第三節 研究範圍與限制 5
第二章 文獻探討 7
第一節 商社經營模式相關理論 7
第二節 企業轉型策略理論 8
第三節 獲利穩定度與股價評價 10
第三章 研究方法 16
第一節 資料來源與整理 16
第二節 研究假說 17
第三節 研究架構 19
第四章 實證結果與分析 23
第一節 轉型策略與獲利穩定度變化分析 23
第二節 獲利穩定度與股價評價變化分析 50
第三節 獲利穩定度與股價評價的相關性分析 57
第五章 結論與建議 59
第一節 研究假設驗證 59
第二節 研究建議 59
參考文獻 62
Yoshino, M. Y. & Lifson, T. B. (1986). The Invisible Link: Japan's Sogo Shosha and the Organization of Trade.
Cambridge, Massachusetts: The MIT Press.
Young, A. K. (1979). The Sogo Shosha: Japan's Multinational Trading Companies.
Boulder, Colorado: Boulder, Colorado: Westview Press.
Kojima, K. & Ozawa, T. (1984). Japan's General Trading Companies.
Paris, France: OECD Development Center.
Meyer, K. E. & Mudambi, R. & Narula, R. (2011). Multinational Enterprises and Local Contexts: The Opportunities and Challenges of Multiple Embeddedness.
Journal of Management Studies, 48(2), 235-252. doi:10.1111/j.1467-6486.2010.00968.x
Williamson, O. E. (1985). The Economic Institutions of Capitalism: Firms, Markets, Relational Contracting.
New York: Free Press.
Granovetter, M. (1985). Economic Action and Social Structure: The Problem of Embeddedness.
American Journal of Sociology, 91(3), 481-510. doi:10.1086/228311
Barney, J. (1991). Firm Resources and Sustained Competitive Advantage.
Journal of Management, 17(1), 99-120. doi:10.1177/014920639101700108
Takeuchi, M. (1994). Modern Spherical Functions. Berlin, Germany: Springer.
Delios, A. & Singh, K. (2005). The Subsidence of “Japanese” Investment in North America.
Asia Pacific Journal of Management, 22(1), 89-121. doi:10.1007/s10490-005-6414-0
Pirrong, C. (2014). Commodity Markets and the Global Economy.
Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press.
Geman, H. (2005). Commodities and Commodity Derivatives: Modelling and Pricing for Agriculturals, Metals and Energy. Chichester, United Kingdom: Wiley Finance.
Carter, C. (1999). Commodity Risk Management: Theory and Application.
Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press.
Cashin, P. & McDermott, C. J. & Scott A. (2002). Booms and Slumps in World Commodity Prices.
Journal of Development Economics, 66(1), 277-296. doi:10.1016/S0304-3878(02)00062-7
Edwards, F. R. & Ma, C. W. (2016). Commodities as an Asset Class: Implications for Portfolio Diversification. New York: McGraw-Hill Education.
Teece, D. J. & Pisano, G. & Shuen, A. (1997). Dynamic Capabilities and Strategic Management.
Strategic Management Journal, 18(7), 509-533. doi:10.1002/(SICI)1097-0266(199708)18:7<509::AID-SMJ882>3.0.CO;2-Z
Ansoff, H. I. (1957). Strategies for Diversification. Harvard Business Review, 35(5), 113-124.
Kane, G. C. & Palmer, D. & Phillips, A. N. & Kiron, D. & Buckley, N. (2015). Strategy, Not Technology, Drives Digital Transformation. MIT Sloan Management Review, 56(3), 1-25.
Day, G. S. (1999). The Market Driven Organization: Understanding, Attracting, and Keeping Valuable Customer. New York: Free Press.
Tushman, M. L. & O'Reilly, C. A. (1996). Ambidextrous Organizations: Managing Evolutionary and Revolutionary Change. California Management Review, 38(4), 8-30. doi:10.2307/41165852
Henderson, B. D. (1970). The Product Portfolio.
Perspectives(Boston Consulting Group, BCG), 66(NA),1-4.
Porter, M. E. (1987). From Competitive Advantage to Corporate Strategy. Harvard Business Review, 1987(5-6月號), 43-59.
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio Selection. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77–91. doi:10.2307/2975974
Prahalad, C. K. & Hamel, G. (1990). The Core Competence of the Corporation.
Harvard Business Review, 68(3), 79-91
Goold, M. & Campbell, A. (1998). Corporate-Level Strategy: Creating Value in the Multibusiness Company. New York: John Wiley & Sons.
Beaver, W. H. (1970). The Information Content of Annual Earnings Announcements.
Journal of Accounting Research,6(Supplement), 67-92. doi:10.2307/2490070
Froot, K. A. & Scharfstein, D. S. & Stein, J. C. (1993). Risk Management: Coordinating Corporate Investment and Financing Policies. 48(5), 1629–1658, doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb05123.x
Gordon, M. J. (1962). The Investment, Financing, and Valuation of the Corporation.
Homewood, Illinois: Richard D. Irwin, Inc.
Rappaport, A. (1986). Creating Shareholder Value: A Guide for Managers and Investors.
New York: Free Press.
Beaver, W. H. & Morse, D. (1978). What Determines Price-Earnings Ratios?
Financial Analysts Journal, 34(4), 65-76. doi:10.2469/faj.v34.n4.65
Fama, E. F. & French, K. R. (1992). The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns.
The Journal of Finance, 47(2), 427-465. doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04398.x
Kaplan, S. N. & Ruback, R. S. (1995). The Valuation of Cash Flow Forecasts: An Empirical Analysis.
The Journal of Finance, 50(4), 1059-1093. doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1995.tb04050.x
Beaver, W. H. (1970). The Time Series Behavior of Earnings
Journal of Accounting Research,8(3), 62-99. doi:10.2307/2490225
Penman, S. H. (1992). Return to Fundamentals.
Journal of Accounting, Auditing & Finance, 7(4), 465-483. doi:10.1177/0148558X9200700403
Fama, E. F. & French, K. R. (1993). Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds.
Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1), 3-56. doi:10.1016/0304-405X(93)90023-5
Nissim, D. & Penman, S. H. (2001). Ratio Analysis and Equity Valuation: From Research to Practice.
Review of Accounting Studies, 6(1), 109-154. doi:10.1023/A:1011338221623
Minton, B. A. & Schrand, C. M. (1999). The Impact of Cash Flow Volatility on Discretionary Investment and the Costs of Debt and Equity Financing. Journal of Financial Economics, 54(3), 423-460. doi:10.1016/S0304-405X(99)00042-2
Rosenberg, B. & Guy, J. (1976). Beta and Investment Fundamentals.
Financial Analysts Journal, 32(3), 60-72. doi:10.2469/faj.v32.n3.60
Sharpe, W. F. (1964). Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk.
Journal of Finance, 19(3), 425-442. doi:10.2307/2977928
Dichev, I. D. & Tang, V. W. (2009). Earnings Volatility and Earnings Predictability.
Earnings Volatility and Earnings Predictability, 47(1-2), 160-181. doi:10.1016/j.jacceco.2008.09.005
Francis, J. & LaFond, R. & Olsson, P. & Schipper, K. (2004). Costs of Equity and Earnings Attributes.
The Accounting Review, 79(4), 967-1010. doi:10.2308/accr.2004.79.4.967
Graham, J. R. & Harvey, C. R. & Rajgopal, S. (2005). The Economic Implications of Corporate Financial Reporting. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 40(1-3), 3-73. doi:10.1016/j.jacceco.2005.01.002
全文公開日期 2030/01/10