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研究生: 林俊佑
Lin, Chung-Yu
論文名稱: 企業外部融資決策探討
Determinants of Financing Decisions: SEO and Debt
指導教授: 盧敬植
口試委員: 張元晨
劉文謙
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 財務管理學系
Department of Finance
論文出版年: 2022
畢業學年度: 110
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 41
中文關鍵詞: SEO動機公司生命週期市場時機理論債市風險情緒理論現金短缺理論舉債動機
外文關鍵詞: SEO motivations, Corporate lifecycle theory, Market timing theory, Bond market risk aversion theory, Cash shortage theory, Debt motivations
DOI URL: http://doi.org/10.6814/NCCU202201426
相關次數: 點閱:203下載:41
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  • 本研究首先探討公司生命週期與企業進行SEO的關聯,以保留盈餘比例代表公司生命週期,分析公司生命週期是否會對其他SEO動機造成影響。實證結果顯示,SEO市場的確是由成長期公司主導,且市場時機理論、債市風險情緒理論對成熟期公司影響較大;至於現金短缺理論不適用於成長期公司,原因在於成長期公司受限於SEO規模有限,會提前在SEO之前累積部分所需現金。此外,考量到SEO與舉債兩種外部融資管道相當於替代品的關係,本研究預測SEO動機同樣適用於舉債,並從後續的實證結果得到證實,更從多元羅吉斯迴歸分析發現,市場時機理論從發生機率的增加率來看,對舉債的影響程度不如SEO明顯。


    This study analyzes the motivations and behaviors of firms facing seasoned equity offering (SEO) decisions. Using retained earnings-to-asset ratio as a proxy for a firm’s lifecycle stage in the logistic regression model, I found that the corporate lifecycle stage indeed affects SEO decisions. The results suggest that growth stage firms dominate the SEO market, while market timing theory and bond market risk aversion theory have much influence on SEO decisions to mature stage firms. Cash shortage theory is unsuitable to growth stage firms since they tend to accumulate part of cash need before SEO, considering the size constraints of SEO proceeds. Besides SEO decisions, I also apply the same variables of the SEO logistic regression model to examine whether they will affect debt decisions. According to empirical results, the motivations and behaviors of SEO are also suitable for debt decisions, and marketing timing theory would increase more probabilities of SEO than debt.

    第一章 緒論 1
    第一節 研究背景與動機 1
    第二節 研究目的與結果 2
    第二章 文獻探討 4
    第一節 公司生命週期定義 4
    第二節 企業進行SEO的動機與行為 5
    第三節 外部融資工具選擇理論 6
    第三章 研究方法 9
    第一節 資料蒐集 9
    第二節 變數定義與假說 10
    第三節 研究方法與實證模型 14
    第四章 實證結果 19
    第一節 敘述統計 19
    第二節 企業進行SEO背後考量 22
    第三節 公司生命週期對SEO決策的影響 25
    第四節 SEO動機是否同樣適用於舉債 29
    第五章 結論與建議 35
    第一節 研究結論 35
    第二節 研究限制與後續建議 37
    參考文獻 39

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