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研究生: 楊玉韻
Yang,Yu Yun
論文名稱: 當 k>v 之貝氏 A 式最適設計
Bayes A-Optimal Designs for Comparing Test Treatments with a Control When k>v
指導教授: 丁兆平
Ting,Chao Ping
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 統計學系
Department of Statistics
論文出版年: 1993
畢業學年度: 81
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 57
中文關鍵詞: 集區設計A式最適設計貝氏實驗設計BTB設計強韌設計近似最適設計
外文關鍵詞: A-optimal designs, Bayes experimental designs, BTB designs, robust designs
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  • 在工業、農業、或醫藥界的實驗中,經常必須拿數個不同的試驗處理

    (test treatments)和一個已使用過的對照處理(control treatment)比較

    。所謂的試驗處理可能是數組新的儀器、不同配方的新藥、或不同成份的

    肥料等。以實驗新藥為例,研藥者想決定是否能以新藥取代原來所使用的

    藥,故對v種新藥與原藥做比較,評估其藥效之差異。為了降低實驗中不

    必要的誤差以增加其準確性,集區設計成為實驗者常用的設計方法之一;

    又因A式最適設計是我們欲估計的對照處理效果(effect)與試驗處理效果

    之差異之估計值最小的設計,基於此良好的統計特性,我們選擇A式最適

    性為評判根據。古典的A式最適性並未將對照處理與試驗處理所具備的先

    前資訊(prior information)加以考慮,以上例而言,我們不可能對原來

    使用的藥一無所知,經由過去的實驗或臨床的反應,研藥者必已對其藥性

    有某種程度的了解,直觀上,這種過去經驗的累積,影響到實驗配置上,

    可能使對照處理的實驗次數減少,相對地可對試驗處理多做實驗,設計遂

    更具意義。因而本文考慮在k>v的情形下之貝式最適集區設計,對先前分

    配施以某種限制,依據準確設計理論(exact design theory),推導單項

    異種消除模型(one- way elimination of heterogeneity model)之下的

    貝氏A式最適設計與Γ- minimax最適設計,使Majumdar(1992)的結果能適

    用於完全集區設計。此種設計對先前分配具有強韌性,即當先前分配有所

    偏誤,且其誤差在某一範圍內時,此設計仍為最適設計或仍可維持所謂的

    高效度(high efficiency)。本文將列舉許多實例以說明此一特性。

    We consider the problem of comparing a set of v test treatments

    simultaneously with a control treatment when k>v. Following the

    work of Majumdar(1992), we use exact design theory to derive

    Bayes A-optimal designs and optimal Γ-minimax designs for the

    one-way elimination of heterogeneity model. These designs have

    the same properties as of Bayes A-optimal incomplete block

    designs. We also provide several examples of robust optimal

    designs and highly efficient designs.


    ACKNOWLEDGMENTS‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧ii
    CONTENTS‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧iii
    LIST OF TABLES‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧iv
    ABSTRACT‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧ vi

    SECTION                             PAGE
    1. INTRODUCTION‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧ 1
    2. PRELIMINARIES‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧ 5
    3. ORTIMAL DESIGNS‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧ 11
    4. ROBUSTNESS AND APPROXIMATION‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧ 19
    5. EXAMPLES‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧ 31

    REFERENCES‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧‧ vii

    Cheng.C.S. and Wu. C.F.(1980). Balanced Repeated Measurements Designs. The Annals of Statistics 8 1272-1283.
    Cheng.C.S.. Majumdar. D.. Stufken. J.. and Türe. T.E.(1988). Optimal steptype designs for comparing test treatments with a control. Journal of the American Statistical Association 83 477-482.
    Giovagnoli.A. and Verdinelli. I. (1983). Bayes D-optimal and E-optimal block desigus. Biometrika 70 695-706.
    Giovagnoli. A.and Verdinelli.I.(1985).Optimal block designs under a hierarchical linear model. In Bayesian Statistics 2 (J.M. Bernardo. M.H. DeGroot. D. V. Lindly and A.F.M.Smith.eds.) 655-662. North –Holland. Amsterdam.
    Hedayat. A.S.. Jacroux. M. and Majundar. D. (1988). Optimal designs for comparing test treatments with controls. Statistical Science 3 462-491.
    Jacroux.M.and Majumdar. D.(1989). Optimal block designs for comparing test treatments with a control when k > r. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 23 381-396.
    Majumdar. D. (1988). Optimal block designs for comparing new treatments with a standard treatment. In Optimal Design and Analysis of Experiments (Y. Dodge. V.V. Fedorov and H.P. Wynn. Eds.) 15-27.North –Holland. Amsterdam.
    Majumdar. D. (1992). Optimal designs for comparing test treatments with a control utilizing prior information. The Annals of Statistics 20 216-237.
    Majumdar. D. and Notz, W. I. (1983). Optimal incomplete block designs for comparing test treatments with a control. The Annals of Statistics 11 258-266.
    Owen R.J. (1970). The optimum design of a two-factor experiment using prior information. The Annals of Mathematical Statistics 41 1971-1934.
    Stufken. J.(1991). Bayesian optimal experimental design for treatment-control comparisous in the presence of two-way heterogeneity. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 27 51-63.

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