| 研究生: |
許涵喻 Hsu, Han Yu |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
臺灣金融拆款市場的議價力 The Bargaining Power in Taiwan Interbank Overnight Market |
| 指導教授: |
王智賢
Wang, JueShyan 林玫吟 Lin, Mei Yin |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
社會科學學院 - 財政學系 Department of Public Finance |
| 論文出版年: | 2013 |
| 畢業學年度: | 101 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 29 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | Nash 議價 、Tobit model 、金融拆款市場 、貨幣政策 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Interbank overnight market |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:79 下載:11 |
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參與臺灣金融拆款市場的金融機構,存在不同的借貸差異限制,本文以Bech and Klee (2011) 所設定的議價模型為基礎,探討臺灣金融拆款市場中的議價力。本文進一步以雙方設限的 Tobit model 來估計議價力,並加入異質參與者的拆進與拆出占市場權數為其中的迴歸解釋變數,實證結果發現:公債附條件利率、政策虛擬變數及準備金集中度會顯著的正向影響貸方議價力,此隱含此三個變數與金融拆款利率有同向變動的關係;此外,信託投資公司拆出比例與貸方議價力有顯著負向的關係。最後,本文以模擬的方式預測金融拆款利率在不同情境下的路徑,此部分可印證本文的重要結論。
The rate corridor regime, relying on lending and deposit facilities to set ceilings and floors for interbank overnight rates, has been practiced by many central banks. This paper modifies the theoretical model proposed by Bech and Klee (2011) to discuss the seller’s bargaining power in Taiwan interbank overnight market under rate corridor system. We apply two-limit Tobit model to estimate the bargaining power. The empirical results show that the repo rate, policy indicator and index for reserves concentration have significantly positive relationship with seller’s bargaining power. Meanwhile, the results imply that the interbank overnight rates rise with these three variables. The conclusions could be clearly observed from the predictions on the paths of the interbank overnight rate under various scenarios.
第一章 前言 1
第二章 文獻探討 4
第三章 理論模型介紹 7
第四章 實證分析 10
第一節 實證模型 10
第二節 實證變數的說明 13
第三節 雙方設限Tobit model實證結果 17
第四節 實證與預測分析 21
第五章 結論與建議 25
參考文獻 27
圖目錄
圖 1:金融機構拆進額(單位:新臺幣百萬元) 2
圖 2:金融機構拆出額(單位:新臺幣百萬元) 2
圖 3:金融拆款市場利率、短期融通利率與準備金乙戶利息 11
圖 4:貸方議價力計算值 11
圖 5:金融拆款利率之預測路徑 – 準備金對數值變動 23
圖 6:金融拆款利率之預測路徑 – 公債附條件交易利率變動 23
圖 7:金融拆款利率之預測路徑 – 金融機構逾放比率變動 24
圖 8:金融拆款利率之預測路徑 – 準備金集中度變動 24
表目錄
表 1: 臺灣金融機構之拆款利率上下限整理 6
表 2: 實證變數之衡量方式與資料來源 15
表 3:實證使用變數基本統計量 16
表 4: 雙方設限Tobit model實證結果 18
表 5: 各解釋變數對貸方議價力影響方向比較表 20
表 6: 各變數平均值 21
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